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NOTE They have already been born
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The most predictable number in UK business planning is how many very old people

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there will be.

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Because they have already been born.

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There were about 1.7 million people aged 85 and over in 2020.

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By the mid 2040s that is projected to reach about 3.1 million.

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Nearly double, inside twenty five years.

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Everyone who will be 85 then is alive today, and is 65 now.

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Compared with forecasting interest rates, that is about as solid as planning data

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gets.

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Far more businesses sit downstream of this than care homes. Equipment.

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Building work. Catering, laundry, cleaning and staffing. Accountants and insurers.

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Funeral services.

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One honest caveat. Rising demand does not mean easy money.

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Care is shaped by public funding and by staffing, and plenty of care businesses

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still close.

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A projection tells you the market is growing. It does not tell you who to call.